Cameron’s flood defences claim not quite waterproof
The claim
“We protected flood defences because that is important.”
Prime Minister David Cameron, Prime Minister’s Questions, 17 November 2010
The background
Today the UK’s flood defences faced a serious test as more than 100 homes were evacuated in Cornwall following heavy rains. It is little wonder, then, that the subject of funding flood defences in the age of austerity reared its head at Prime Minister’s Questions.
In the very last question of the session, former Labour frontbencher Ben Bradshaw challenged the Prime Minister about the “false economy of his recent decision to slash investment in flood defences”.
“That is simply not the case,” Cameron replied. “The fact is that the Department for Environment, Food and Rural Affairs will be spending over £2.1 billion on flood and coastal erosion risk management over the next four years; that is roughly the same as what was spent over the past four years.
“We made some difficult choices in the spending round, but we protected flood defences because that is important.”
But are his numbers watertight?
The analysis
The Department for Environment, Food and Rural Affairs was one of the biggest losers of the Spending Review, according to the Institute for Fiscal Studies, facing cuts of £30.9m. Yet the Spending Review heralded a commitment to “continued investment in flood and coastal erosion risk management, with £2 billion being spent in total over the Spending Review period” – just short of what Mr Cameron told MPs today.
Defra confirmed last week that spending would be £2.1bn over the next four years last week, backing up the Prime Minister.
However, his assertion that this is “protecting” the budget is less assured. A spokesperson told FactCheck today that for the four years from 2011/12 spending on flood and coastal erosion risk management will be around £540million per year.
Under Labour, according to Defra, it was £590m a year for the last four years – or a total of £2.36bn. So spending of £2.1bn over the next four years on flood defences will be a cut of 11 per cent compared to the last four years.
There have also been savings this year. Defra is spending £664m on flood risk management in 2010/11 – which they say is still a record level of spending. Of that, £629m is a grant to the Environment Agency which, Defra’s own website says, includes a “£30 million saving as part of the deficit reduction”.
Defra added: “In the settlement coupled with efficiencies in flood procurement, we are prioritising spending to provide increased protection from flooding to an additional 145,000 homes by 2015. We will also protect front-line services like flood forecasting and warning and incident response, and the maintenance of existing flood defences.”
But Ben Bradshaw is in good company when he says these savings are a false economy. The Institute of Civil Engineers voiced their concern after the Spending Review, pointing out that “According to the Environment Agency, for every pound spent on flood defences we save eight in the future in terms of reduced damage.”
The verdict
Whichever way you look at this one, it seems Mr Cameron was wrong to say spending on flood defences was “protected”. Yes, they have committed to spending around £2bn over the next four years. But overall that’s an 11 per cent cut to Defra’s budget for flood defences compared to the last four years.
Update, 18 November 2010: Downing Street insisted today that the prime minister’s comments to the Commons on floods were “accurate” and that spending over the next four years was “broadly the same” as the previous four years. The prime minister’s official spokesman added that other departments were making far bigger cuts.


There are 10 comments on this post
The 1% difference between the four years ahead with the Coalition and the last 4 years under Labour is very abitarily adjusted for inflation to look like -11% in funding but only because if one chooses to include inflation (which is currently 3.2% but could just as easily fall back towards zero percent) the 11% difference looks bigger than 1% difference.
Yet “…roughly the same as what was spent over the past four years”, as you quote David Cameron as saying in Parliament, is not roughly the same amount spent by Labour?
How close has “roughly” got to be?
If Labour spent £2.36bn on Flood Defences over 4 years and the Coalition are spending roughly the same amount at £2.1bn then “roughly” speaking IT is roughly the same and so Cameron was not wrong and it is still MORE than £2bn being spent on Flood Defences.
Flood Waters are not subject to price inflation so I would look at DEFRA to see how badly they are spending more than £4.5bn over 8 years and asking the question what is it they are doing wrong if anything and why they need MORE!
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IF IAIN CREW WANTS TO GIVE ME £2.36BN AND I GIVE HIM £2.1BN BACK (THEN “ROUGHLY” SPEAKING IT IS ROUGHLY THE SAME ) I WOULD BE VERY HAPPY TO MAKE A DEAL.
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Iain Crew said “Flood Waters are not subject to price inflation …”
What a strange observation. We are talking about the cost of engineering measures to improve flood defences. They are most certainly subject to inflation.
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Even more than 11 per cent if you take inflation into account.
They also say they are ring fencing NHS but everyone in the NHS knows that with the enormous rises in drugs and equipment, even the increased budgets will buy less.
They love to lie with statistics.
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£2.1bn or £2.3bn being spent on Flood Defence over 4 years is still a lot of money especially when the Country is in debt up to its eyeballs and sinking beneath a tidal wave of £4.4TRILLION of personal, commercial, government and pension debt.
The question really should not be whether David Cameron was right to suggest that £2.1bn is “roughly the same as” £2.3bn (which it is when talking about BILLIONS of OUR pounds)but whether DEFRA are using that money wisely to protect people from flooding in flood-prone areas where most sensible people do not reside.
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It is becoming a bit worrying that so many government statements are being classed as “Fiction”. Why does the government continue to try and deceive us. If I lied to my boss (or employer) I would be in big trouble. So how come ministers get away with it. How can we (the public) make informed opinions when the information our politicians are giving us as fraudulent ? The result is the failure of our political system. Supposedly our government exists to serve us (the people). They are paid for with our money and should be accountable to us. when then repeatedly lie about what they are doing it becomes fraudulent and somebody should be holding them to account (because we cannot with one vote every 5 years – and it seems we just get a pack of lies from some candidates then as well e.g. LibDems)
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We expect to spend at least £2.1billion on flooding and coastal erosion over the next four years, a slight decrease of roughly eight per cent on the £2.36billion spent over the last four years. Over the next four years Defra will spend an average of £540m per year on flood and coastal erosion risk management.
We’ve protected the budget as much as possible – meaning 145,000 homes will be better protected from flooding by 2015 – and prioritised front line services such as spending on flood forecasting and early warning, and emergency response, and maintaining flood defences. So in the context of capital cuts across Government the Prime Minister is absolutely right to say that we protected the floods budget because it is important.
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Nice use of words. Eight per cent is a ‘slight decrease’ in spending but would eight per cent be s slight decrease in fingers or even be a ‘slight’ increase in inflation. It amounts to millions of pounds and so will mean that some people are less safe than they would have been. That might be inevitable in the current situation but please don’t try to persuade us it ain’t so.
And given that there will be millions less spent, David Cameron is not ‘absolutely right’ to say it’s been protected.
When will politicians start to tell us the truth and not dress it up just so they look good and the others look bad? Fact check seems to be the only way we the voter can have any idea of what is really going on.
You work for us. Stop using weazle words to try and fool us.
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When spendings cuts must be done casualties are always. Whatever politicians would say, the reality is the security in the time of flood would suffer.
On side of the mainstream defences I would like to introduce very supportive solution, cheap, affordable and tested to be helpful.
Visiting the website and watching video about kind of interesting flood protection possibly convince you that it could b used to make difference accross the country without big spendings instantly…
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